Sijonge phambili kwimakethi yokuhombisa ngo-2023, abangaphakathi kwishishini bakholelwa ukuba imakethi inokuba ikwindlela yokusebenza ephezulu nephantsi.Lo nyaka usengunyaka apho amandla okuvelisa i-styrene asanda ngokukhawuleza.Isiqingatha sonyaka sokuchasa ukulahlwa siphelile.Iimveliso zangaphandle okanye ukutshayela ukucinezela imarike yasekhaya.Ngexesha elifanayo, umthamo osezantsi ukhululwa.I-Besium engaphantsi kwe-2022, inzuzo inzima ukunyuka.
Ukukhula kwemveliso kunokuba yi-17%
"Ngo-2022, umthamo wasekhaya we-styrene usekwindlela yokukhula ephezulu, kwaye izinga lokukhula lilindeleke ukuba lifike kwi-20%, eya kuba yimveliso ekhawulezayo kwikhonkco loshishino kwikhonkco loshishino.Ngenxa yokukhutshwa ngokukhawuleza komthamo omtsha wemveliso ye-styrene, ukunyuka kwemveliso kunye noxinzelelo lokuthengisa kuya kwanda, kwaye izinga lokusetyenziswa kwamandla aliyi kuba lihle ngokusemandleni.Kulindeleke ukuba ibe malunga ne-78%.“Umhlalutyi kaKim Lianchuang uWang Li uyakholelwa.
U-Wang Li uthe kwi-2023, izixhobo ezitsha ezifana ne-Lianyungang Petrochemical, i-Zibo Junchen, i-Guangdong Petrochemical, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical inokufakwa kwimveliso, kwaye izinga lokukhula kwamandla okuvelisa i-styrene kulindeleke ukuba lifike kwi-23%.Ukuba ukugunyaziswa kulibaziseka ngenxa yokwandiswa kokuchasana phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno, izinga lokukhula kwemveliso ye-styrene kulo nyaka ingaba yi-17%.
Ukuchaphazeleka kule nto, imarike ye-styrene yalo nyaka iqhuba okanye inomgangatho ophezulu kunye nomgangatho ophantsi, kwaye ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka liya kuba ngaphantsi kwe-2022. Ngokukodwa, izibikezelo zokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwikota yesibini.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngenxa yokwandiswa okuqhubekayo kwe-styrene kulo nyaka, uxinzelelo kwimveliso kwikota yokuqala yayinkulu, kwaye imfuno ye-superimposed ngexesha loMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo yayibuthathaka.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, imfuno kwikota yesibini bekulindeleke ukuba ibuyele kwakhona, kwaye imveliso esezantsi nayo iya kulandela.Kwikota yesithathu neyesine, ukunikezelwa kwe-styrene kwinqanaba eliphezulu kwaye imfuno iyancipha ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye ixabiso lingahla.Kuyafaneleka ukuba uqaphele ukuba ngexesha lokugcinwa kwendawo ephakathi kwesixhobo se-styrene, kunokubakho ukunyuka kweemarike ezikhulayo, kodwa ukunyuka kulinganiselwe.
Ukongezelela, enye into echaphazela ukuguquguquka kwemarike ye-styrene kulo nyaka kukuba i-anti-dumping iya kuphela.Ngomhla wama-22 kuJuni, i-2018, iSebe lezoRhwebo libhengeze isigwebo sokugqibela sophando oluchasene nokulahla inkunkuma yaseSouth Korea, eTaiwan naseUnited States.Emva kokuphela kwenkqubo echasene nokulahlwa kwenkunkuma ngoJuni kulo nyaka, i-China, njengelona lizwe likhulu labathengi kwi-styrene yehlabathi, iya kutsala umdla wabavelisi besitayile behlabathi.Nangona amandla amatsha emveliso ye-styrene yasekhaya ekhutshwa ngokuqhubekayo kwaye ukuxhomekeka kokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe kuqhubeka kuncipha, ukuhamba konikezelo kuya kuqhubeka, kwaye indlela entsha ye-arbitrage iya kudala kancinci, okanye iya kufaka uxinzelelo kwimarike yasekhaya ngexesha elithile. .
Indawo yenzuzo iyaqhubeka iyancipha
Ngo-2022, ngaphandle kweshishini le-ingenuylene kwikota yesithathu, ixesha eliseleyo laliyilahleko yelahleko.Ilahleko yethiyori ukuya kuthi ga kwi-yuan eyi-1,000 (ixabiso letoni, elifanayo ngezantsi), kunye nomyinge we-379 yuan ngonyaka.
U-Han Xiaoxiao, umhlalutyi we-Longzhong Information, ukholelwa ukuba ngaphezu kokukhululwa okubalulekileyo komthamo omtsha wokuvelisa, enye into ebalulekileyo kukuba iindleko eziphezulu ziyaqhubeka noxinzelelo.I-benzene ecocekileyo yenye yezinto eziphambili ze-styrene, kwaye ukuguquguquka kwexabiso layo kubaluleke kakhulu kwindlela ye-styrene.
Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo lenyuka ngokukhawuleza ngenxa yobonelelo oluqinileyo kunye nerekhodi ephezulu yexabiso langaphandle, kwaye yehla kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ngenxa ye-terminal negative kunye ne-port inventory acumulation, kunye ne-avareji yexabiso lonyaka elisondelayo. 9,000 yuan.
Kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo, umahluko wexabiso phakathi kwebenzene ecocekileyo kunye nestyrene uye wehla kakhulu.Kwiminyaka edlulileyo, umahluko wexabiso phakathi kwebenzene emsulwa kunye nestyrene wagcinwa ngo 2000 ~ 2500 yuan, wacuthwa ukuya kwi 1000 ~ 1500 yuan kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, kwaye ngamanye amaxesha kuphela 200 ~ 500 yuan.Ngo-2022, ikhonkco leshishini le-styrene elineemveliso ezilungileyo zenzuzo yemathiriyeli ekrwada iphelisa ibenzene ecocekileyo.
Ngo-2023, ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka okanye ukothuka okuphezulu, isiqingatha sesibini sonyaka okanye ingozi enkulu yokuwa.Kukho amashishini amaninzi asezantsi ebenzene ecocekileyo.Ukusuka kwindawo yokujonga umlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa, i-styrene iseyeyona mveliso inkulu yokusetyenziswa kwe-benzene ecocekileyo, ibalwa malunga ne-47%.Kwangaxeshanye, kulo nyaka umthamo we-styrene uyaqhubeka nokukhula ngokukhawuleza, imfuno ye-benzene ecocekileyo isakhula umjelo.Kwimvelaphi "yekhabhoni ephindwe kabini", ngenxa yomgangatho wokusebenza kweshishini le-coking ayanelanga, ulungelelwaniso oluphezulu lwe-raw material supply limited, kulindeleke ukuba kulo nyaka ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo lilindeleke ukuba ligcine imeko ephezulu yokugqiba.
Kwiindleko eziphezulu kunye nokubamba, ukuveliswa kweshishini le-styrene esezantsi kunye nokusebenza kusajongene noxinzelelo olukhulu, indawo yenzuzo okanye iya kuqhubeka nokucudiswa.
Ukuchasana kobonelelo kunye nemfuno akukho ngqiqweni
I-Polystyeyrene (PS), i-Hair Polystyeyrene (EPS), i-Acryl -butadiene -i-Tartylene I-Poin epheleleyo (i-ABS) iyona mithathu iphantsi kwe-styrene, ibala malunga ne-70 yokusetyenziswa ngokupheleleyo kwe-styrene%.Abantu bangaphakathi bakholelwa ukuba amandla okuvelisa ezi zintathu ziphambili ezantsi kulo nyaka ziphantsi.Ngaphantsi kokulindela ukuphuculwa kwangaphakathi, ukuba i-downstream inethemba malunga nokusetyenziswa kwangempela kwezinto eziluhlaza, izinga lokukhula langempela le-ABS, i-PS, kunye ne-EPS kulindeleke ukuba i-12%, 6%, kunye ne-3%, eyayiyiyo. isezantsi kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kwemveliso ye-17% ye-styrene.Oku kukwathetha ukuba ukuphikisana phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno ye-styrene kusenzima ukudambisa ngokufanelekileyo.
Ngo-2023, ukunikezelwa kwe-styrene ngokuthe ngcembe kugcwele.Nangona imfuno kulindeleke ukuba inyuke, izinga lokukhula lincinci kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kwe-styrene, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuya kuqhubeka nokuba ngumjelo obalulekileyo wokunciphisa imveliso kunye noxinzelelo lokuthengisa ukunciphisa imveliso kunye nokuthengisa.Ngokumalunga nokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe, ngokucinywa komsebenzi ochasene nokulahla i-styrene, i-China kunye ne-South Korea iirhafu ziya kuncipha kakhulu.Kulindeleke ukuba umthamo wokungenisa jikelele we-styrene kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka uya kunyuka kancane.Nangona kunjalo, ukunyuka kwe-styrene yokungenisa akuyi kuba kukhulu kakhulu ngenxa yokunyuka kwamandla okukhuphisana kwe-RMB.
Ixesha lokuposa: Feb-16-2023