Sijonge phambili kwimakethi yokuhombisa ngo-2023, abangaphakathi kwishishini bakholelwa ukuba imakethi inokuba ikwindlela yokusebenza ephezulu nephantsi. Lo nyaka usengunyaka apho amandla okuvelisa i-styrene asanda ngokukhawuleza. Isiqingatha sonyaka sokuchasa ukulahlwa siphelile. Iimveliso zangaphandle okanye ukutshayela ukucinezela imarike yasekhaya. Ngexesha elifanayo, umthamo osezantsi ukhululwa. I-Besium engaphantsi kwe-2022, inzuzo inzima ukunyuka.
Ukukhula kwemveliso kunokuba yi-17%
"Ngo-2022, umthamo wasekhaya we-styrene usekho kwijelo eliphezulu lokukhula, kwaye izinga lokukhula lilindeleke ukuba lifike kwi-20%, eya kuba yimveliso ekhawulezayo ye-industrial chain chain chain chain. Wang Li uyakholelwa.
U-Wang Li uthe kwi-2023, izixhobo ezitsha ezifana ne-Lianyungang Petrochemical, i-Zibo Junchen, i-Guangdong Petrochemical, i-Zhejiang Petrochemical inokufakwa kwimveliso, kwaye izinga lokukhula kwamandla okuvelisa i-styrene kulindeleke ukuba lifike kwi-23%. Ukuba ukugunyaziswa kulibaziseka ngenxa yokwandiswa kokuchasana phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno, izinga lokukhula kwemveliso ye-styrene kulo nyaka ingaba yi-17%.
Ukuchaphazeleka kule nto, imarike ye-styrene yalo nyaka iqhuba okanye inomgangatho ophezulu kunye nomgangatho ophantsi, kwaye ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka liya kuba ngaphantsi kwe-2022. Ngokukodwa, izibikezelo zokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwikota yesibini. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngenxa yokwandiswa okuqhubekayo kwe-styrene kulo nyaka, uxinzelelo kwimveliso kwikota yokuqala yayinkulu, kwaye imfuno ye-superimposed ngexesha loMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo yayibuthathaka. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, imfuno kwikota yesibini bekulindeleke ukuba ibuyele kwakhona, kwaye imveliso esezantsi nayo iya kulandela. Kwikota yesithathu neyesine, ukunikezelwa kwe-styrene kukwinqanaba eliphezulu kwaye imfuno iyancipha ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye ixabiso lingahla. Kuyafaneleka ukuba uqaphele ukuba ngexesha lokugcinwa kwendawo ephakathi kwesixhobo se-styrene, kunokubakho ukunyuka kweemarike ezikhulayo, kodwa ukunyuka kulinganiselwe.
Ukongezelela, enye into echaphazela ukuguquguquka kwemarike ye-styrene kulo nyaka kukuba i-anti-dumping iya kuphela. Ngomhla wama-22 kuJuni, i-2018, iSebe lezoRhwebo libhengeze isigwebo sokugqibela sophando oluchasene nokulahla inkunkuma yaseSouth Korea, eTaiwan naseUnited States. Emva kokuphela kwenkqubo echasene nokulahlwa kwenkunkuma ngoJuni kulo nyaka, i-China, njengelona lizwe likhulu labathengi kwi-styrene yehlabathi, iya kutsala umdla wabavelisi besitayile behlabathi. Nangona amandla emveliso entsha ye-styrene yasekhaya ikhutshwa ngokuqhubekayo kwaye ukuxhomekeka kokungenisa elizweni kuyaqhubeka nokuhla, ukuhamba konikezelo kuya kuqhubeka, kwaye indlela entsha ye-arbitrage iya kudala kancinci, okanye iya kufaka uxinzelelo kwimarike yasekhaya ngexesha elithile.
Indawo yenzuzo iyaqhubeka iyancipha
Ngo-2022, ngaphandle kweshishini le-ingenuylene kwikota yesithathu, ixesha eliseleyo laliyilahleko yelahleko. Ilahleko yethiyori ukuya kuthi ga kwi-yuan eyi-1,000 (ixabiso letoni, elifanayo ngezantsi), kunye nomyinge we-379 yuan ngonyaka.
U-Han Xiaoxiao, umhlalutyi we-Longzhong Information, ukholelwa ukuba ngaphezu kokukhululwa okubalulekileyo komthamo omtsha wokuvelisa, enye into ebalulekileyo kukuba iindleko eziphezulu ziyaqhubeka noxinzelelo. I-benzene ecocekileyo yenye yezinto eziphambili ze-styrene, kwaye ukuguquguquka kwexabiso layo kubaluleke kakhulu kwindlela ye-styrene.
Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2022, ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo lenyuka ngokukhawuleza ngenxa yokubonelela ngokuxinana kunye nerekhodi ephezulu yexabiso langaphandle, kwaye yehla kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ngenxa ye-terminal negative kunye nokuqokelela kwe-inventory ye-port, kunye nexabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka lisondela kwi-9,000 ye-yuan.
Kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo, umahluko wexabiso phakathi kwebenzene ecocekileyo kunye nestyrene uye wehla kakhulu. Kwiminyaka edlulileyo, umahluko wexabiso phakathi kwebenzene emsulwa kunye nestyrene wagcinwa ngo 2000 ~ 2500 yuan, wacuthwa ukuya kwi 1000 ~ 1500 yuan kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, kwaye ngamanye amaxesha kuphela 200 ~ 500 yuan. Ngo-2022, ikhonkco leshishini le-styrene elineemveliso ezilungileyo zenzuzo yemathiriyeli ekrwada iphelisa ibenzene ecocekileyo.
Ngo-2023, ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka okanye ukothuka okuphezulu, isiqingatha sesibini sonyaka okanye ingozi enkulu yokuwa. Kukho amashishini amaninzi asezantsi ebenzene ecocekileyo. Ukusuka kwindawo yokujonga umlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa, i-styrene iseyeyona mveliso inkulu yokusetyenziswa kwe-benzene ecocekileyo, ibalwa malunga ne-47%. Kwangaxeshanye, kulo nyaka umthamo we-styrene uyaqhubeka nokukhula ngokukhawuleza, imfuno ye-benzene ecocekileyo isakhula umjelo. Kwimvelaphi "yekhabhoni ephindwe kabini", ngenxa yomgangatho wokusebenza kweshishini le-coking ayanelanga, ulungelelwaniso oluphezulu lwe-raw material supply limited, kulindeleke ukuba kulo nyaka ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo lilindeleke ukuba ligcine imeko ephezulu yokugqiba.
Kwiindleko eziphezulu kunye nokubamba, ukuveliswa kweshishini le-styrene esezantsi kunye nokusebenza kusajongene noxinzelelo olukhulu, indawo yenzuzo okanye iya kuqhubeka nokucudiswa.
Ukuchasana kobonelelo kunye nemfuno akukho ngqiqweni
I-Polystyeyrene (PS), i-Hair Polystyeyrene (EPS), i-Acryl -butadiene -i-Tartylene I-Poin epheleleyo (i-ABS) iyona mithathu iphantsi kwe-styrene, ibala malunga ne-70 yokusetyenziswa ngokupheleleyo kwe-styrene%. Abantu bangaphakathi bakholelwa ukuba amandla okuvelisa ezi zintathu ziphambili ezantsi kulo nyaka ziphantsi. Ngaphantsi kokulindela ukuphuculwa kwangaphakathi, ukuba i-downstream inethemba malunga nokusetyenziswa kwangempela kwezinto eziluhlaza, izinga lokukhula langempela le-ABS, i-PS, kunye ne-EPS kulindeleke ukuba i-12%, i-6%, kunye ne-3%, eyayiphantsi kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kwemveliso ye-17% ye-styrene. Oku kukwathetha ukuba ukuphikisana phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno ye-styrene kusenzima ukudambisa ngokufanelekileyo.
Ngo-2023, ukunikezelwa kwe-styrene ngokuthe ngcembe kugcwele. Nangona imfuno kulindeleke ukuba inyuke, izinga lokukhula lincinci kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kwe-styrene, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuya kuqhubeka nokuba ngumjelo obalulekileyo wokunciphisa imveliso kunye noxinzelelo lokuthengisa ukunciphisa imveliso kunye nokuthengisa. Ngokumalunga nokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe, ngokucinywa komsebenzi ochasene nokulahla i-styrene, i-China kunye ne-South Korea iirhafu ziya kuncipha kakhulu. Kulindeleke ukuba umthamo wokungenisa jikelele we-styrene kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka uya kunyuka kancane. Nangona kunjalo, ukunyuka kwe-styrene yokungenisa akuyi kuba kukhulu kakhulu ngenxa yokunyuka kwamandla okukhuphisana kwe-RMB.
Ixesha lokuposa: Feb-16-2023