Bejonge phambili kwimarike yokwenza izitayile ngo-2023, abantu abangaphakathi kushishino bakholelwa ukuba imakethi isenokuba kwisimo sokusebenza esiphezulu nesiphantsi. Lo nyaka usengunyaka apho amandla okuvelisa e-styrene akhule ngokukhawuleza. Ukuchasana nokulahla inkunkuma kwesiqingatha sonyaka kuphelile. Iimveliso zangaphandle okanye ukutshayelwa ukuze kuthintelwe imakethi yasekhaya. Kwangaxeshanye, amandla asezantsi ayakhululwa. Ngaphandle kowama-2022, inzuzo kunzima ukuyinyusa.
Ukukhula kwemveliso kungaba yi-17%
“Ngowama-2022, amandla e-styrene yasekhaya asekwinqanaba eliphezulu lokukhula, kwaye izinga lokukhula kulindeleke ukuba lifikelele kwi-20%, nto leyo eya kuba yimveliso ekhawulezayo yekhonkco leshishini kwikhonkco leshishini. Ngenxa yokukhululwa ngokukhawuleza kwamandla amatsha emveliso ye-styrene, ukwanda koxinzelelo lwemveliso kunye nokuthengisa kuya kwanda, kwaye izinga lokusetyenziswa kwamandla aliyi kuba lihle kangangoko kunokwenzeka. Kulindeleke ukuba libe malunga ne-78%. “Umhlalutyi uKim Lianchuang uWang Li ukholelwa.
UWang Li uthe ngo-2023, izixhobo ezintsha ezifana neLianyungang Petrochemical, Zibo Junchen, Guangdong Petrochemical, Zhejiang Petrochemical zinokufakwa kwimveliso, kwaye izinga lokukhula kwamandla emveliso yestyrene kulindeleke ukuba lifikelele kwi-23%. Ukuba ukuqaliswa kokumiselwa kulibaziseka ngenxa yokwanda kokungqubana phakathi kokunikezelwa kunye nemfuno, izinga lokukhula kwemveliso yestyrene kulo nyaka linokuba yi-17%.
Ngenxa yoku, imakethi ye-styrene yalo nyaka isebenza okanye inesimo esiphakamileyo nesiphantsi, kwaye ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka liya kuba ngaphantsi kowama-2022. Ngokukodwa, uqikelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwikota yesibini. Kwelinye icala, ngenxa yokwanda okuqhubekayo kwe-styrene kulo nyaka, uxinzelelo kwimveliso kwikota yokuqala lwaluphezulu, kwaye imfuno eyayibekwe ngaphezulu ngexesha leMnyhadala yaseNtwasahlobo yayibuthathaka. Kwelinye icala, imfuno kwikota yesibini yayilindeleke ukuba ibuye, kwaye imveliso esezantsi nayo iya kulandela. Kwikota yesithathu neyesine, ukunikezelwa kwe-styrene kukwinqanaba eliphezulu kwaye imfuno iye yancipha kancinci kancinci, kwaye ixabiso linokwehla. Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba ngexesha lokugcinwa kwesixhobo se-styrene, kunokubakho amaza eemarike ezikhulayo, kodwa ukunyuka kuncinci.
Ukongeza, enye into echaphazela ukuguquguquka kwemarike ye-styrene kulo nyaka kukuba ukuchasana nokulahla inkunkuma kuya kuphela. Ngomhla wama-22 kuJuni 2018, uMphathiswa wezoRhwebo ubhengeze isigqibo sokugqibela sophando lokuchasana nokulahla inkunkuma oluvela eMzantsi Korea, eTaiwan nase-United States. Emva kokuphela kokuchasana nokulahla inkunkuma ngoJuni kulo nyaka, iTshayina, njengelizwe elikhulu labathengi kwihlabathi le-styrene, iya kutsala ingqalelo yabavelisi be-styrene behlabathi. Nangona amandla amatsha emveliso ye-styrene yasekhaya ekhutshwa rhoqo kwaye ukuxhomekeka kokungenisa kuyaqhubeka kuncipha, ukuhamba kobonelelo kuya kuqhubeka, kwaye indlela entsha ye-arbitrage iya kuvela kancinci kancinci, okanye iya kubeka uxinzelelo kwimarike yasekhaya kwixesha elithile.
Indawo yenzuzo iyaqhubeka nokuncipha
Ngowama-2022, ngaphandle koshishino lwe-ingenuylene kwikota yesithathu, ixesha eliseleyo laliyilahleko. Ilahleko yethiyori efikelela kwi-1,000 yuan (ixabiso leetoni, elifana nelingezantsi), kunye nomndilili we-379 yuan ngonyaka.
UHan Xiaoxiao, umhlalutyi weLongzhong Information, ukholelwa ukuba ukongeza ekukhululweni okukhulu kwamandla amatsha emveliso, enye into ebalulekileyo kukuba iindleko eziphezulu ziyaqhubeka noxinzelelo. I-benzene ecocekileyo yenye yezona zinto ziphambili ze-styrene, kwaye ukuguquguquka kwexabiso layo kubalulekile kwindlela i-styrene eqhuba ngayo.
Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sowama-2022, ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo lenyuke kakhulu ngenxa yokungabikho kobonelelo kunye nexabiso eliphezulu kakhulu langaphandle, laza lehla kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ngenxa yokuqokelelwa kwezinto ezingafunekiyo kunye nokuqokelelwa kwezinto ezikwi-port, apho ixabiso eliphakathi lonyaka lisondela kwi-9,000 yuan.
Kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, umahluko wamaxabiso phakathi kwe-benzene ecocekileyo kunye ne-styrene unciphe kakhulu. Kwiminyaka edlulileyo, umahluko wamaxabiso phakathi kwe-benzene ecocekileyo kunye ne-styrene ugcinwe kwi-2000 ~ 2500 yuan, unciphe ukuya kwi-1000 ~ 1500 yuan kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, kwaye ngamanye amaxesha yi-200 ~ 500 yuan kuphela. Ngo-2022, uthotho lweshishini le-styrene oluneemveliso ezilungileyo zenzuzo yezinto eziluhlaza luphela nge-benzene ecocekileyo.
Ngowama-2023, ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka okanye ukutshatyalaliswa okukhulu, isiqingatha sesibini sonyaka okanye umngcipheko wokuwa okuphezulu. Kukho amashishini amaninzi asezantsi e-benzene ecocekileyo. Ngokwembono yomlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa, i-styrene iseyeyona mveliso inkulu yokusetyenziswa kwe-benzene ecocekileyo, ebalelwa malunga ne-47%. Kwangaxeshanye, kulo nyaka amandla e-styrene ayaqhubeka nokukhula ngokukhawuleza, imfuno ye-benzene ecocekileyo isakhula. Kwimvelaphi "yekhabhoni ephindwe kabini", ngenxa yokuba izinga lokusebenza kweshishini le-coking alanelanga, ulungelelwaniso lokunikezelwa kwezinto eziluhlaza olugqithisileyo lulinganiselwe, kulindeleke ukuba kulo nyaka ixabiso le-benzene ecocekileyo ligcine imeko ephezulu yokugqiba.
Kwixabiso eliphezulu kunye nokubamba, imveliso kunye nokusebenza kweshishini le-styrene elisezantsi kusajongene noxinzelelo olukhulu, indawo yenzuzo okanye kuya kuqhubeka kuncitshiswa.
Ukungqubana kokubonelela ngempahla kunye nemfuno akunangqiqo
I-Polystyeyrene (PS), i-Hair Polystyeyrene (EPS), i-Acryl -butadiene -Tartylene Total Poin (ABS) zezona zintathu ziphambili ze-styrene, ezimalunga ne-70 iyonke yokusetyenziswa kwe-styrene%. Abantu abangaphakathi bakholelwa ukuba amandla emveliso iyonke yezi zintathu ziphambili ze-downstream kulo nyaka aphantsi. Phantsi kolindelo lokuphuculwa ngaphakathi, ukuba i-downstream inethemba malunga nokusetyenziswa kwezixhobo eziluhlaza, izinga lokukhula kwe-ABS, PS, kunye ne-EPS kulindeleke. Yayiyi-12%, 6%, kunye ne-3%, eyayiphantsi kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kwemveliso le-17% ye-styrene. Oku kuthetha ukuba ukungqubana phakathi kobonelelo kunye nemfuno ye-styrene kusenzima ukuyiphelisa ngempumelelo.
Ngowama-2023, ukunikezelwa kwe-styrene kuya kugcwala kancinci kancinci. Nangona kulindeleke ukuba imfuno inyuke, izinga lokukhula liphantsi kakhulu kunezinga lokukhula kwe-styrene, kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kuya kuqhubeka nokuba yindlela ebalulekileyo yokunciphisa uxinzelelo lwemveliso kunye nokuthengisa ukunciphisa imveliso kunye nokuthengisa. Ngokuphathelele ukungeniswa kwamanye amazwe, ngokurhoxiswa komrhumo wokulwa nokulahla i-styrene, iirhafu zaseTshayina naseMzantsi Korea ziya kwehla kakhulu. Kulindeleke ukuba umthamo wokungeniswa kwe-styrene kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka unyuke kancinci. Nangona kunjalo, ukunyuka kokungeniswa kwe-styrene akuyi kuba mkhulu kakhulu ngenxa yokwanda kwamandla okukhuphisana e-RMB.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Feb-16-2023