Imbonakalo yeMarike yeMathiriyeli yeMichiza

I-Methanol Outlook

Imarike yasekhaya yemethanol kulindeleke ukuba ibone uhlengahlengiso olwahlukileyo kwixesha elifutshane. Kumazibuko, unikezelo lwangaphakathi elizweni lunokuqhubeka lungena kwi-arbitrage, kunye nokufika okugxininisiweyo kokufika kwempahla kwiveki ezayo, imingcipheko yokuqokelelwa kwempahla isekhona. Phakathi kokulindelweyo kokunyuka kwezinto ezithengwayo kumazwe angaphandle, ukuzithemba kwimarike yexesha elifutshane kubuthathaka. Nangona kunjalo, ukunqunyanyiswa kwe-Iran kwintsebenziswano kunye ne-UN ejongene nenyukliya ye-UN kubonelela ngenkxaso enkulu yezoqoqosho. Amaxabiso ePort methanol kusenokwenzeka ukuba atshintshe phakathi kwezinto ezixubeneyo ze-bullish kunye ne-bearish. Ngaphakathi kwelizwe, abavelisi bemethanol babamba uluhlu olunyiniweyo, kwaye ukulungiswa okugxininisiweyo kwamva nje kwizityalo zemveliso kugcina uxinzelelo lokubonelela lusezantsi. Nangona kunjalo, amacandelo amaninzi asezantsi-ingakumbi i-MTO-ajongene nelahleko enzima kunye neendleko ezilinganiselweyo zokudlula. Ukongeza, abasebenzisi bemijelo esezantsi kwimimandla yokusetyenziswa babamba uluhlu lwempahla ekrwada ephezulu. Emva kwexabiso lexabiso lale veki, abarhwebi balumkile malunga nokusukela inzuzo eyongezelelweyo, kwaye kungekho msantsa wokubonelela kwimarike, amaxabiso e-methanol aphakathi kwelizwe kulindeleke ukuba adibanise phakathi kweemvakalelo ezixubeneyo. Ingqalelo esondeleyo kufuneka ihlawulwe kwi-inventri yezibuko, ukuthengwa kwe-olefin, kunye nophuhliso loqoqosho olukhulu.

Formaldehyde Outlook

Amaxabiso asekhaya e-formaldehyde alindeleke ukuba adibanise kunye nokuthambekela okubuthathaka kule veki. Ulungelelwaniso lonikezelo lunokuncipha, ngelixa imfuno evela kumacandelo asezantsi afana neepaneli zamaplanga, ukuhonjiswa kwekhaya, kunye nezitshabalalisi zicutheka ngamaxesha onyaka, zidityaniswe zizinto zemozulu. Ukuthenga kuya kuhlala kusekelwe kwiimfuno. Ngamaxabiso e-methanol alindeleke ukuba alungelelanise ngokwahlukileyo kunye nokunciphisa ukuguquguquka, ukuxhaswa kweendleko ze-formaldehyde kuya kulinganiselwa. Abathathi-nxaxheba bemarike kufuneka babeke iliso elibukhali kumanqanaba e-inventri kwizityalo zepaneli zamaplanga ezisezantsi kunye neendlela zokuthengwa kwempahla kulo lonke ukubonelela.

IAcetic Acid Outlook

Imarike ye-acetic yasekhaya kulindeleke ukuba ihlale ibuthathaka kule veki. Ubonelelo kulindeleke ukuba lunyuke, kunye neyunithi yeTianjin enokuthi iqalise ukusebenza kwaye isityalo esitsha saseShanghai Huayi sinokuqalisa imveliso kwiveki ezayo. Kuncinci ukuvalwa okucwangcisiweyo okulindelweyo, ukugcina amazinga okusebenza ngokubanzi aphezulu kunye nokugcina uxinzelelo olumandla lwentengiso. Abathengi abasezantsi baya kugxila ekugayeni iikontraki zexesha elide kwisiqingatha sokuqala senyanga, kunye nemfuno ebuthakathaka yendawo. Abathengisi balindeleke ukuba bagcine ukuzimisela okuqinileyo kokukhuphela uluhlu lwempahla, kunokwenzeka ngamaxabiso athotyiweyo. Ukongeza, amaxabiso e-methanol feedstock anokwehla kwiveki ezayo, ecinezela ngakumbi imakethi ye-acetic acid.

DMF Outlook

Imarike yasekhaya ye-DMF kulindeleke ukuba idityaniswe nokulinda-kwaye-ukubona kule veki, nangona abavelisi basenokuthi bazame ukuxhasa amaxabiso, ngokunyuka okukodwa okuncinci kunokwenzeka. Kwicala lokubonelela, isityalo sikaXinghua sihlala sivaliwe, ngelixa iyunithi yeSigaba sesi-II seLuxi kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke nokunyuka, ishiya unikezelo lulonke luzinzile. Imfuno ihlala icotha, kunye nabathengi abasezantsi bagcina ukuthengwa okusekelwe kwiimfuno. Amaxabiso e-methanol feedstock angabona uhlengahlengiso olwahlukileyo, kunye ne-port methanol eguquguqukayo phakathi kwezinto ezixubeneyo kunye namaxabiso angaphakathi elizweni adityaniswa. Uluvo lwentengiso lulumkile, abathathi-nxaxheba ubukhulu becala balandela iintsingiselo zemarike kunye nokugcina ukuzithemba okulinganiselweyo kwinkangeleko yexesha elikufutshane.

Propylene Outlook

Utshintsho lwemfuno yobonelelo lwakutsha nje lugutyungelwe lutshintsho oluthe gqolo oluya phezulu nasezantsi, ngakumbi uqalo olugxininisiweyo kunye nokuvalwa kweeyunithi zePDH kule nyanga, ecaleni kokugcinwa okucwangcisiweyo kwezinye izityalo ezinkulu ezisezantsi. Ngelixa inkxaso yecala lonikezelo ikhona, imfuno ebuthathaka inciphisa ixabiso phezulu, ukugcina iimvakalelo zentengiso zilumkile. Amaxabiso epropylene alindeleke ukuba athambekele buthathaka kule veki, kunye nengqalelo esondeleyo efunekayo kwimisebenzi yeyunithi yePDH kunye namandla amakhulu esityalo esisezantsi.

PP Granule Outlook

Uxinzelelo lwecala lokubonelela luyenyuka njengoko umlinganiselo wokuveliswa kwemveliso uyancipha, kodwa amandla amatsha-i-Zhenhai Refining Phase IV e-East China kunye nomgca wesine we-Yulong Petrochemical kuMntla we-China-ziqalile ukunyuka, ukwandisa kakhulu ukunikezelwa kweemarike kunye noxinzelelo lwe-homo- kunye namaxabiso e-copolymer yendawo. Ukuvalwa kogcino okumbalwa okucwangcisiweyo kule veki, kucutha ngakumbi ilahleko yokubonelela. Amacandelo asezantsi afana neengxowa ezilukiweyo kunye neefilimu zisebenza ngamaxabiso aphantsi, ikakhulu zisebenzisa izixhobo ezikhoyo, ngelixa imfuno yokuthumela ngaphandle iphola. Lilonke imfuno ebuthathaka iyaqhubeka nokunyanzela imarike, ngokunqongophala kwezinto ezilungileyo zokugcina umsebenzi worhwebo uthotyiwe. Uninzi lwabathathi-nxaxheba lunenkangeleko engathandekiyo, belindele ukuba amaxabiso ePP athobe phantsi ekudibaneni.