Kwintlanganiso yohlalutyo lwemarike ye-nitrogen yasentwasahlobo ka-2023 eyayibanjelwe eJincheng, kwiPhondo laseShanxi kwiveki ephelileyo, uGu Zongqin, umongameli we-China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association, wabonisa ukuba ngo-2022, onke amashishini e-nitrogen yesichumiso aya kuwugqiba ngempumelelo umsebenzi wokuqinisekisa unikezelo lwesichumiso senitrogen phantsi kwemeko entsonkothileyo yekhonkco lemizi-mveliso elihlwempuzekileyo kunye nekhonkco lokubonelela, ukubonelela ngexabiso eliphezulu kunye nexabiso eliphezulu. Ukususela kwimeko yangoku, ukunikezelwa kwesichumisi se-nitrogen kunye nemfuno kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke ngo-2023, kwaye ibhalansi iyonke igcinwe.
Unikezelo lonyuke kancinci
Ubonelelo lwamandla luyinkxaso ebalulekileyo kwimveliso yesichumiso senitrogen. Kunyaka ophelileyo, ingxaki yamandla ehlabathi yabangela ingxaki yamandla ehlabathi ngenxa yengxabano yaseRashiya-Ukraine, eyayala impembelelo enkulu kwimveliso ye-nitrogen fertilizer. UGu Zongqin uthe imeko yentengiso yamandla ehlabathi, ukutya kunye nezichumisi zekhemikhali kulo nyaka isenokungaqiniseki okukhulu, kwaye iya kuba nefuthe elikhulu kuphuhliso lweshishini.
Ngokubhekiselele kwindlela yoshishino lwesichumisi se-nitrogen kulo nyaka, u-Wei Yong, umlawuli weSebe leNgcaciso kunye neNtengiso ye-Nitrogen Fertilizer Association, ukholelwa ukuba ukunikezelwa kwesichumisi se-nitrogen kulo nyaka akuyi kuchaphazeleka yimiba yangaphandle. Oku kungenxa yokuba imakethi yesichumiso senitrogen iya kukhutshwa kulo nyaka. Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, umthamo omtsha wokuvelisa isichumiso senitrogen uneetoni ezingama-300,000/ngonyaka wesixhobo se-urea eXinjiang; malunga ne-2.9 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo omtsha kunye ne-1.7 yezigidi zeetoni zokutshintsha umthamo kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka zifakwe kwimveliso. Ngokubanzi, i-2 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo wokuvelisa urea ezifakwe kwimveliso ekupheleni kuka-2022 kwaye malunga ne-2.5 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo wemveliso ocwangcisiweyo ngo-2023 uya kwenza ukunikezelwa kwesichumisi se-nitrogen kulo nyaka ngokwaneleyo.
Imfuno yezolimo izinzile
U-Wei Yong uthe ngo-2023, i-Central Central Document No. Onke amaphondo (imimandla ezimeleyo noomasipala) kufuneka azinzise ummandla, agxile kwimveliso, azabalazele ukwandisa imveliso. Ke ngoko, imfuno yalo nyaka yokuqina kwesichumiso senitrogen iya kuqhubeka ikhula. Nangona kunjalo, isixa esisetyenzisiweyo endaweni yesichumiso se-potassium kunye nesichumiso se-phosphate siya kuncipha, ngakumbi ngenxa yokuhla okubukhali kwamaxabiso e-sulfure, ixabiso lokuvelisa isichumiso se-phosphate lehlile, ukuchasana phakathi kobonelelo kunye nemfuno yezichumiso ze-potassium kuyaphungulwa, kwaye enye indawo yesichumiso se-nitrogen kwisichumiso se-phosphate kunye nesichumiso se-potassium kulindeleke ukuba sehle.
U-Tian Youguo, usekela-mlawuli we-National Crop Seeds and Fertilizer Quality Inspection Centre yeSebe lezoLimo kunye neMicimbi yaseMaphandleni, waqikelela ukuba imfuno yesichumisi sasekhaya ngo-2023 yayimalunga ne-50.65 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye unikezelo lonyaka lwalungaphezu kweetoni ze-57.8 yezigidi, kwaye unikezelo lwalungaphezu kweetoni ze-7.2 yezigidi. Phakathi kwazo, isichumiso senitrogen silindeleke ukuba sibe yi-25.41 yezigidi zeetoni, isichumiso sephosphate kulindeleke ukuba sifune iitoni ze-12.03 yezigidi, kwaye isichumiso se-potassium kulindeleke ukuba sifune iitoni ze-13.21 yezigidi.
U-Wei Yong uthe imfuno ye-urea yalo nyaka kwezolimo iye yazinza, kwaye i-urea-demand iya kubonisa isimo esilungeleleneyo. Ngo-2023, imfuno yokuveliswa kwe-urea kwilizwe lam malunga ne-4.5 yezigidi zeetoni, eziziitoni ezingama-900,000 ngaphezu kwe-2022. Ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwanda, ukubonelela kunye nemfuno iya kuhlala ilingana.
Ukusetyenziswa okungekho kwezolimo kuyanda
U-Wei Yong uthe njengoko ilizwe lam lihlawula ngakumbi nangakumbi ukhuseleko lokutya okuziinkozo, imfuno yesichumiso senitrogen kulindeleke ukuba igcine umkhwa ozinzile. Kwangaxeshanye, ngenxa yohlengahlengiso kunye nokwenza ngcono imigaqo-nkqubo yokuthintela ubhubhane, ukuchacha kwezoqoqosho kwelizwe lam kunomfutho olungileyo, kwaye imfuno ye-urea kumashishini kulindeleke ukuba inyuke.
Xa sijonga ukumiselwa kwangaphambili kwezinga lokukhula koqoqosho lwelizwe lam lokukhula koqoqosho lwaseTshayina, imeko yezoqoqosho kwilizwe lam ngoku ilungile, kwaye imfuno yemfuno engeyiyo yezolimo iya kwanda. Ngokukodwa, i-"2022 China Economic Review and 2023 Economic Outlook in Economic Research of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences" ikholelwa ukuba izinga lokukhula kweGDP yaseChina ngo-2023 limalunga ne-5%. I-International Monetary Fund inyuse ukukhula kweGDP yaseChina ngowama-2023 ukuya kutsho kwisi-5.2%. IBhanki yaseCiti ikwanyuse ukukhula kweGDP yaseChina ngowama-2023 ukusuka kwi-5.3% ukuya kwi-5.7%.
Kulo nyaka, impumelelo yelizwe lam ye-real estate ikhulile. Abangaphakathi kwishishini babonisa ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo omtsha osanda kuqaliswa kwiindawo ezininzi uthande ukuphuhliswa kwe-real estate, ngaloo ndlela uvuselela imfuno yefenitshala kunye nokuphuculwa kwekhaya, ngaloo ndlela ukwandisa imfuno ye-urea. Kulindeleke ukuba imfuno engeyiyo yezolimo ye-urea kulo nyaka ifikelele kwi-20.5 yezigidi zeetoni, ukwanda malunga ne-1.5 yezigidi zeetoni ngonyaka ngonyaka.
UZhang Jianhui, uNobhala-Jikelele we-Progressive Adhesive and Coatings Professional Committee ye-China Forestry Industry Association, naye wavumelana nale nto. Uthe ngokulungiswa kunye nokulungelelaniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wokuthintela ubhubhane welizwe lam kulo nyaka kunye nokuphunyezwa komgaqo-nkqubo omtsha we-real estate, imarike iye yafumana ngokuthe ngcembe, kunye nemfuno yokusetyenziswa kwebhodi eyenziweyo eye yacinezelwa iminyaka emithathu elandelelanayo iya kukhutshwa ngokukhawuleza. Kulindeleke ukuba ukuveliswa kweebhodi zokwenziwa zaseTshayina kuya kufikelela kwi-340 yezigidi ze-cubic metres ngo-2023, kwaye ukusetyenziswa kwe-urea kuya kudlula i-12 yezigidi zeetoni.
Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-10-2023