Ngo-2022, phantsi kwemvelaphi yexabiso eliphakamileyo lamaxabiso aluhlaza kunye nokukhula okuqhubekayo kwamandla emveliso yasekhaya kwintengiso yasekhaya kwi-Methanol yasekhaya, idlule kumjikelo wokuhamba kwexesha elingaphezulu kwama-36%. Ukujonga phambili ukuya kwi-2023, abasebenzi abangamashishini bakholelwa ukuba imakethi yalo nyaka imakethi iza kuhlala iqhubeka nemeko ye-macro kunye nendlela yomsetyenzana weshishini. Ngohlengahlengiso lobonelelo kunye nolwalamano lwemfuno kunye nohlengahlengiso lweendleko zezinto eziluhlaza, kulindeleke ukuba iimfuno zemveliso ziya kukhula ngaxeshanye, imarike iya kuzinza kwaye izinzile. Ikwabonisa iimpawu zokukhulisa amandla okuvelisa okucothayo, utshintsho kulwakhiwo lwabathengi, kunye nokuguquguquka okuninzi kwintengiso. Kwangelo xesha, ifuthe lokufumana ukuhanjiswa ngaphakathi kwimarike yasekhaya inokuba yeyona nto iboniswe ikakhulu kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka.
Iqondo lokukhula kwethanga elicothayo
Ngokweenkcukacha-manani kwinethiwekhi ye-HON, ngo-2022, iLizwe lam leMveliso yeMethanol yayiyi-5.545 yezigidi zeetoni, kunye nemveliso ye-jithanol ye-methanol ye-jithanol ye-Metanol yagxilwa eTshayina. Ekupheleni kuka-2022, iLizwe lam lilonke leMveliso yeMethanol yayimalunga ne-113.06 yezigidi zeetoni, i-accounting ye-59% yendawo yemveliso yehlabathi, kunye nonyaka we-5.7%- unyaka.
I-Han Hongwei, uMongameli weHenan Petroleum kunye noMbutho weShishini leShemicamic, wathi ngo-2023, i-Methanol yeLizwe leMethanol yam iyaqhubeka nokukhula, kodwa izinga lokukhula ziya kunciphisa kancinci. Ngo-2023, i-Metanol yamandla e-methanol yam inokuba malunga ne-4.9 yezigidi zeetoni. Ngelo xesha, amandla emveliso ye-metanol epheleleyo aya kufikelela kwiitoni ezizigidi ezili-118, unyaka-onyuke nge-4.4%. Okwangoku, iCoal-Piecle -Thanol isixhobo incitshisiwe kakhulu, ikakhulu ngenxa yokukhuthaza "i-hardbon" ijolise kwithagethi "ye-carbon" kunye neendleko eziphezulu zotyalo-mali zeengcine zeChemical Plal. Nokuba ngaba umthamo omtsha unokuguqulwa ngokufanelekileyo ukuba abe nobuchule bokwenyani kwixesha elizayo bafuna ukunika ingqalelo kwisikhokelo somgaqo-nkqubo wesicwangciso esilishumi elinesihlanu "Ukucwangciswa kweshishini lemichiza elitsha, kunye notshintsho kwindalo esingqongileyo ukhuselo nemigaqo-nkqubo yamalahle.
Ngokutsho kweNgxelo yeNgeniso yeNtengiso yeNgeniso, nge-29 kaJanuwari, ixabiso lokurhweba lasekhaya le-methanol (ixabiso le-Yuan, kunye nexabiso le-Yun, i-Yuan ye-Yuan, i-Yuan yenyanga ifikelele kwi-13 %. "Impembelelo yokuphehlelelwa komthamo omtsha kwimarike inokubonakala kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iphinde ibuyele ezantsi kwixabiso leMethanol ekuqaleni konyaka kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke." Han Hongwei uthe.
Ukusetyenziswa kwendlela yokutshintsha
Umntu ophethe iProjekthi ye-Methanol ye-Methanol yeMethanol yathi ngenxa yothintelo nolawulo lobhubhani kunye nokwenza ubuthathaka kwe-macroeconomic ye-macroeconomic, i-methanol ye-methanol iya kutshintsha. Phakathi kwazo, isantya sophuhliso se-Coal -to -olefins ngokusebenzisa malunga ne-55% inokucothisa, kwaye ukusetyenziswa kwemizi-mveliso yemveli kulindelwe ukukhula kwakhona.
UCui Huajie, umntu ophethe ulawulo lweHenan RuisiaANXIN, utshilo ukuba iimfuno ze-olefins ziye zabuthathaka ukusukela ngo-2022, kwaye nangona intengiso yeMethanol ilungisiwe. Phantsi kweendleko eziphakamileyo, i-Coal -to -olefin igcina ilahleko yelahleko unyaka wonke. Ukuchaphazeleka koku, ukuphuculwa kweCoal -to -olefin kubonisa iimpawu zokucotha. Ngeyona projekthi iphambili yokuphuculwa kwenkqubo yenkqubo yekhaya ye-2022 -Shenghong ehlaziyiweyo kunye nemveliso ebanzi, i-slion methanol olefin (MTO) ye-Tethanol iya kuba yi-2.4 yezigidi zeetoni kwithiyori. Iqondo lokukhula kwemfuno ye-olefins kwi-methanol iya kuqhubeka kancinci kancinci.
Ngokomphathi weqela lamandla eHennan, kumgangatho ophakathi we-methanol, inani elikhulu leeprojekthi ze-acetic ziya kusungulwa ukusuka kwi-2020 yeeprojekthi ze-accetic ziya kusungulwa ukusuka kwi-2020 yeeprojekthi ze-acetic ziya kusungulwa ukusuka kwi-2020 ukuya kwi-2021 phantsi komnxeba wenzuzo ephezulu, kwaye i-aceic ye-aciti igcinile yonyuso lonyaka I-1 yezigidi zeetoni kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo. Ngo-2023, i-1.2 yezigidi zeetoni ze-acetic acid kulindeleke ukuba zongezwe, zilandelwe ziitoni ezingama-260,000 ze-thethane pherlide, i-180,000 yeetoni ze-tetyl tertide (i-MTBE) (DMF). Xa iyonke, ukukhula kokukhula kwemveli kwe-Metanol ye-Metanol kunendlela eyandayo, kwaye indlela yokusebenzisa i-Methanol ye-Methanol iphinda iphinde ivelise imeko eyohlukeneyo yophuhliso, kwaye ulwakhiwo lokusetyenziswa lunokutshintsha. Nangona kunjalo, izicwangciso zemveliso zala manqanaba maxesha maxesha esikhundleni zigxile kakhulu kwisiqingatha sesibini okanye ukuphela konyaka, eziya kuba nenkxaso encinci kwimarike yeMethanol ngo-2023.
Imarike yothusa ayinakufikeleleka
Ngokutsho kokubonelelwa ngoku kunye nolwakhiwo lwemfuno, i-shao huiwen, ipoli yentengiso ephezulu, yatsho ukuba amandla emveliso ye-Methanol ye-Methanol sele egqibile ukuncitshiswa kwezinto ezinqabileyo zeMethanol ezinokuqhubeka zichaphazeleka, nokuba Umthamo omtsha weMethanol unokucwangciswa ngo-2023 ngokwesicwangciso ngokwesicwangciso semveliso sisaqwalaselwa, kwaye imveliso ikwajongwe kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, esiya kuba njalo Kuyathandeka ukusekwa kweNtengiso yeMethanol kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2023.
Ngokwembono yenkqubo yemveliso ye-New Yeethanol Metanol, amandla okuvelisa agxilwe kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka. Ingcinezelo yokungenisa elizweni inokubonakala kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka. Ukuba ukungenisa okusezantsi kokungeniswa komhlaba, imakethi yasekhaya ye-methanol izakujamelana nefuthe leemveliso ezingeniswayo kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka.
Ukongeza, ngonyaka wama-2023, umzi-mveliso wasemazantsi opholileyo waseMetanol kunye namashishini asakhulayo acetywa ukuba abeke kwimveliso yeeyunithi ezintsha, phakathi kwemveliso entsha ye-MTO, i-methanol icocekile inamemeko enamandla kwicandelo lamandla amatsha , Imfuno yeMethanol kulindeleke ukuba yonyuswe, kodwa inqanaba lokukhula linokuqhubeka nokucotha. Imakethi yasekhaya ye-methanol njengoko iyonke ikwimeko ye-oversopply. Kulindelwe ukuba imakethi yeMethanol yasekhaya iya kunyuka kuqala kwaye uzinze ngo-2023, kwaye ukubakho kohlengahlengiso kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka akunakugwetywa. Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yendleko eziphezulu zedyasi evuthiweyo kunye negesi yendalo, kunzima ukuphucula imakethi yeMethanol kwixesha elifutshane, kunye nokuntywila kungenakuphepheka.
Abalimi bemizi-mveliso bathi inqanaba lemveliso yokukhula yeMethanol kule minyaka mihlanu izayo kulindeleke ukuba ibe kwi-3% ukuya kwi-4%. Kwangelo xesha, kunye nokudityaniswa kwemveliso kunye nokuphuculwa kwetekhnoloji, ngaphezu kwesigidi esinye se-methanol kwisixhobo sokudityaniswa kwe-Olefin kwisixhobo se-Olefin kwiyona ndlela iphambili, i-carbon eluhlaza kunye nezinye iinkqubo ezivelayo ziya kuba yisongezelelo. I-Methanol ukuya kwi-Aromatics kunye neMethanol kwi-petiline iya kufumana kwakhona amathuba amatsha ophuhliso, kodwa isixhobo esidibeneyo sesona sixhobo siphambili sophuhliso, kwaye I-phenomenon yokutshintsha kwemakethi enkulu kwimarike yeMethanol kulindeleke ukuba iphuculwe.
IXESHA LOKUQALA: FEB-08-2023