I-South China Index ikhululekile kancinci
Ukwahlulwa-hlulwa kubhekisa kokubini phezulu nasezantsi
Kwiveki ephelileyo, imakethi yeemveliso zeekhemikhali zasekhaya yahlukile, kwaye iyonke yehla xa ithelekiswa neyeveki ephelileyo. Phakathi kweemveliso ezingama-20 ezijongwe yiCanton Trading, ezintandathu zinyukile, ezintandathu zehla kwaye ezisixhenxe zahlala zithe tyaba.
Ngokwembono yemarike yamazwe ngamazwe, kule veki, imakethi ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe inyuke kancinci. Ngeli veki, iRashiya iza kunciphisa imveliso ukususela ngoMatshi ukuze iphendule kwizohlwayo zaseNtshona, kwaye i-OPEC+ ibonisa ukuba ayizukunyusa imveliso yezinto ezilungileyo ezifana nokunyuka kwemveliso kunye ne-OPEC kwingxelo yamva nje. Imakethi ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe inyuke iyonke. Ukusukela nge-17 kaFebruwari, ixabiso lokuhlawula isivumelwano esiphambili se-WTI crude oil futures eMelika yayiyi-US $ 76.34/barrel, ukwehla kwe-$ 1.72/barrel ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo. Ixabiso lokuhlawula isivumelwano esiphambili se-Brent crude oil futures yayiyi-$ 83/barrel, ukwehla kwe-$ 1.5/barrel ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo.
Ngokwembono yemarike yasekhaya, nangona imakethi yeoyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe iqhuba kakuhle kule veki, imakethi inokunyuka okulinganiselweyo kolindelo lweoyile ekrwada kunye nenkxaso enganeleyo kwimakethi yeekhemikhali. Ke ngoko, imakethi iyonke yeemveliso zeekhemikhali zasekhaya iye yehla kancinci. Ukongeza, ukukhula kwemfuno esezantsi yeemveliso zeekhemikhali akwanelanga, kwaye ukubuyiselwa kwemfuno ethile esezantsi akulunganga njengoko bekulindelwe, ngaloo ndlela kurhuqa umkhwa wemarike iyonke ukuze kulandelwe isantya semakethi yeoyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe. Ngokwedatha yeGuanghua Trading Monitor, iSouth China Chemical Products Price Index inyuke kancinci kule veki, ukusukela ngoLwesihlanu, iSouth China Chemical Products Price Index (ebizwa ngokuba yi "South China Chemical Index") ime kwi-1,120.36 points, yehle nge-0.09% ukusuka ekuqaleni kweveki kunye ne-0.47% ukusuka nge-10 kaFebruwari (ngoLwesihlanu). Phakathi kwe-sub-indices ezingama-20, i-6 indices ye-mixed aromatics, i-methanol, i-toluene, i-propylene, i-styrene kunye ne-ethylene glycol zinyukile. Ii-indexes ezintandathu zeSodium hydroxide, i-PP, i-PE, i-xylene, i-BOPP kunye ne-TDI zehla, ngelixa ezinye zahlala zizinzile.
Umfanekiso 1: Idatha yesalathiso seSouth China Chemical Index (Isiseko: 1000) kwiveki ephelileyo, ixabiso lesalathiso sisibonelelo somrhwebi.
Umfanekiso 2: Januwari 2021 -Januwari 2023 South China Index Trends (Isiseko: 1000)
Inxalenye yendlela yokuthengisa i-index yohluhlu
1. I-Methanol
Kwiveki ephelileyo, imakethi iyonke ye-methanol ibuthathaka. Ichatshazelwe kukwehla kwemakethi yamalahle, inkxaso yokuphela kweendleko ibuthathaka. Ukongeza, imfuno yendabuko ye-methanol ibuyele kancinci, kwaye iyunithi enkulu ye-olefin esezantsi yaqala ukusebenza kwinqanaba eliphantsi. Ke ngoko, imakethi iyonke iqhubekile nokusebenza ibuthathaka.
Ukususela emva kwemini kaFebruwari 17, isalathisi samaxabiso emarike ye-methanol eMzantsi China sivale kuma-1159.93 amanqaku, sinyuke nge-1.15% ukususela ekuqaleni kweveki saza sehla nge-0.94% ukusuka ngoLwesihlanu ophelileyo.
2. Isodiyam hydroxide
Kwiveki ephelileyo, imakethi ye-sodium hydroxide yasekhaya iqhubekile nokusebenza buthathaka. Kwiveki ephelileyo, umthamo wemakethi iyonke ulula, imakethi ilumkile ngakumbi. Okwangoku, ukubuyiselwa kwemfuno ephantsi kungaphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe, imakethi isagcinwa ikakhulu kufuneka nje ukuyithenga. Ngaphezu koko, uxinzelelo lwe-inventory yemarike ye-chlor-alkali luphezulu, umoya we-bearish wemarike unamandla, ukongeza, imakethi yokuthumela ngaphandle ibuthathaka kwaye iguqukele kwintengiso yasekhaya, unikezelo lwemakethi luyanda, ngoko ke, ezi zinto azilunganga kwimakethi ye-sodium hydroxide iyehla.
Kwiveki ephelileyo, imakethi yeSodium hydroxide yasekhaya iqhubekile nokuhla kwitshaneli. Ngenxa yokuba uninzi lwamashishini lusaqhubeka nokusebenza ngendlela eqhelekileyo, kodwa imfuno ephantsi ngokusisiseko igcina imfuno efanelekileyo, kwaye umyalelo wokuthumela kwamanye amazwe awonelanga, ukuphelelwa lithemba kwimakethi kuyakhula, nto leyo ekhokelela ekwehleni kwemakethi yeSodium hydroxide yasekhaya kwiveki ephelileyo.
Ukususela nge-17 kaFebruwari, i-Sodium hydroxide price index eMzantsi China ivale kwi-1,478.12 points, ihle nge-2.92% ukususela ekuqaleni kweveki kunye ne-5.2% ukusuka ngoLwesihlanu.
3. I-ethylene glycol
Kwiveki ephelileyo, imakethi ye-ethylene glycol yasekhaya iyekile ukuphinda ivuke. Imakethi ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe inyukile iyonke, kwaye inkxaso yeendleko inyukile. Emva kokuhla kwemakethi ye-ethylene glycol kwiiveki ezimbini zokuqala, imakethi iqalile ukuyeka ukuwa. Ngokukodwa, ezinye izixhobo ze-ethylene glycol zidluliselwa kwezinye iimveliso ezingcono, indlela yokucinga yemakethi iphucukile, kwaye iimeko zemakethi iyonke ziqalile ukunyuka. Nangona kunjalo, izinga lokusebenza elisezantsi liphantsi kunakwiminyaka edlulileyo, kwaye imakethi ye-ethylene glycol inyukile.
Ukususela nge-17 kaFebruwari, i-index yexabiso eMzantsi China yayisele ivaliwe ngamanqaku angama-685.71, ukunyuka kwe-1.2% ukususela ekuqaleni kweveki, kunye ne-0.6% ukusuka ngoLwesihlanu odlulileyo.
4. I-Styrene
Kwiveki ephelileyo, imakethi ye-styrene yasekhaya yayiphantsi yaza yaphinda yabuya ngamandla. Ngeveki, imakethi ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe inyukile, ixabiso liyaxhaswa, kwaye imakethi ye-styrene iphinda yabuya ngeempelaveki. Ngokukodwa, ukuthunyelwa kwee-port kuphucukile, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kuncitshiswe ukuhanjiswa kwee-port. Ukongeza, ukugcinwa kwabanye abavelisi kunye nezinye izinto ezilungileyo kunyusiwe. Nangona kunjalo, uxinzelelo lwezinto ze-port luselukhulu, ukubuyiselwa kwemfuno esezantsi akulunganga njengoko bekulindelwe, kwaye ukunqongophala kwe-spot market kuyancitshiswa.
Ukusukela nge-17 kaFebruwari, ixabiso le-styrene kummandla waseMzantsi China livalwe ngama-968.17 amanqaku, ukunyuka kwe-1.2% ukusuka ekuqaleni kweveki, ebekuzinzile ngoLwesihlanu odlulileyo.
Uhlalutyo lwemarike yexesha elizayo
Imeko engaqinisekanga yejografi isakhuthaza ukunyuka kweoyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe. Cinezela umkhwa wemarike yamaxabiso eoyile yamazwe ngamazwe kule veki. Ngokwembono yasekhaya, ukunikezelwa kwemarike iyonke kwanele kwaye imfuno ephantsi yeemveliso zeekhemikhali ibuthathaka. Kulindeleke ukuba imakethi yemarike yeekhemikhali yasekhaya okanye ukusebenza kombutho kule veki kusekelwe ikakhulu.
1. I-Methanol
Akukho bavelisi batsha bokulungisa kule veki, kwaye ngokubuyiselwa kwezinye izixhobo zokulungisa kwangaphambili, kulindeleke ukuba ukubonelela ngemarike kwanele. Ngokuphathelele imfuno, isixhobo esiphambili se-olefin sisebenza kancinci, kwaye iimfuno zabasebenzisi bemveli ezisezantsi zinokunyuka kancinci, kodwa izinga lokukhula kwemfuno iyonke yemarike lisacotha. Ngamafutshane, kwimeko yeendleko ezilinganiselweyo kunye nokuphuculwa komphezulu okuncinci, imarike ye-methanol kulindeleke ukuba igcine umkhwa wokukhwaza.
2. Isodiyam hydroxide
Ngokuphathelele ulwelo lwesoda eyosiweyo, unikezelo lwemarike iyonke lwanele, kodwa imfuno esezantsi isebuthathaka. Okwangoku, uxinzelelo lwezinto ezisetyenzisiweyo kwindawo ephambili yemveliso luselukhulu. Kwangaxeshanye, ixabiso lokuthenga elisezantsi liqhubekile nokuhla. Kulindeleke ukuba imakethi yolwelo lwesoda eyosiweyo isasehla.
Ngokuphathelele ii-caustic soda flakes, ngenxa yemfuno ebuthathaka esezantsi, imakethi ixhaphakile ngamaxabiso aphantsi. Ngokukodwa, imfuno ephambili ye-alumina esezantsi kunzima ukuyiphucula kwaye inkxaso yemarike engaphantsi kwe-aluminium ayonelanga, kulindeleke ukuba imakethi yee-caustic soda flakes isenendawo yokwehla.
3. I-ethylene glycol
Kulindeleke ukuba imakethi ye-ethylene glycol ilawuleke kakhulu. Ngenxa yokuba isixhobo seHainan Refinery esinomthamo weetoni ezingama-800,000 sinokukhululwa kwemveliso, ukunikezelwa kwemakethi kukhulu, kwaye izinga lokusebenza kwe-polyester esezantsi lisenendawo yokuphucula. Nangona kunjalo, isantya sokukhula kwixesha elizayo asikacaci, iimeko zemakethi ye-glycol ziya kuhlala zisoyikisa kancinci.
4. I-Styrene
Imarike ye-styrene kwindawo yokubuyela umva kwiveki ezayo incinci. Nangona ukulungiswa kunye nokubuyiselwa kwemfuno esezantsi kwefektri ye-styrene kuya kuyinyusa imarike, imeko yemarike ye-oyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe kulindeleke ukuba ibe buthathaka kwiveki ezayo, kwaye ingqondo yemarike inokuchaphazeleka, ngaloo ndlela ithintele ukunyuka kwamaxabiso emarike.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Matshi-01-2023