Ukungena kwi-2023, imarike yasekhaya ye-butadiene iphezulu kakhulu, ixabiso lemarike linyuke nge-22.71%, ukukhula konyaka-ngonyaka we-44,76%, kufezekise isiqalo esihle.Abathathi-nxaxheba Market bakholelwa ukuba 2023 butadiene market ipateni tight iya kuqhubeka, imarike kubalulekile ukukhangela phambili, kwangaxeshanye yasekhaya butadiene market jikelele interval yokusebenza okanye iya kuba phezulu kancinane 2022, ukusebenza eliphezulu jikelele.
Ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kweemarike
Umhlalutyi we-Jin Lianchuang u-Zhang Xiuping uthe i-shishini belingenathemba malunga nemarike ye-butadiene ngoJanuwari ngenxa yempembelelo yemveliso ye-Shenghong Refining kunye nesityalo sekhemikhali.Nangona kunjalo, ukugcinwa okulindelekileyo kwezityalo ze-butadiene kwi-Zhejiang Petrochemical kunye ne-Zhenhai Refining kunye nesityalo sekhemikhali ngoFebruwari nango-Matshi kuye kwaphakamisa umoya wokusebenza kwimarike.Ukongeza, iTianchen Qixiang kunye neZhejiang Petrochemical Co., LTD.'s acrylonitrile — butadiene — styrene copolymer (ABS) imfuno yezityalo iyanda ngokuthe ngcembe.Imarike ihlola ngokubanzi.
Nangona iyunithi ye-butadiene kwiSigaba se-II se-Zhejiang Petrochemical icwangciselwe ukuvalwa ukulungiswa phakathi koFebruwari, kwaye i-Zhenhai Refining kunye ne-Chemical plant nayo ihlelwe ukuba ihlaziywe ekupheleni kukaFebruwari, zombini i-Hainan Refining kunye ne-Chemical Plant kunye ne-petrochina. I-Guangdong Petrochemical plant icwangciselwe ukuba iqalise ukusebenza ngoFebruwari.Ngaphantsi kwempembelelo ebanzi, ukuveliswa kwe-butadiene kulindeleke ukuba kuzinzile kodwa kungabi namandla, kwaye ixabiso lemarike kulindeleke ukuba lihlale liphezulu.
Ngokwembono yokukhutshwa komthamo we-bifienne ngo-2023, kunokubakho i-1.04 yezigidi zeetoni zomthamo omtsha okhutshiweyo kunyaka wonke, kodwa ukulibaziseka kolunye ufakelo akunakuthintelwa.Kwangaxeshanye, uninzi lwezityalo ezitsha ebekufanele ukuba ziqalise ukusebenza ekupheleni konyaka ophelileyo ziye zalibaziseka kwisiqingatha sokuqala salo nyaka.Ukongeza kwi-Shenghong Refining kunye neChemical, ezinye izityalo ze-butadiene ezifana ne-Dongming Petrochemical nazo kulindeleke ukuba ziqalise ukusebenza.Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, esichatshazelwa kukukhutshwa okugxininisiweyo komthamo omtsha wemveliso, unikezelo lwe-butadiene luya kutshatyalaliswa ngokuthe ngcembe, imarike okanye lubonise indlela yokuvula ephezulu.
Kulindeleke ukuba inani elincinci lezixhobo ezintsha ze-butadiene ziya kufakwa kwimveliso kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba izixhobo ezitsha ezisezantsi ziza kufakwa kwimveliso.Ukunyuka kwemfuno kuya kuba kukhulu kunokwenyuka konikezelo, kwaye imeko yobonelelo lwemalike engqongqo iya kuqhubeka.
Ukongeza, ngokulungiswa kunye nohlengahlengiso lomgaqo-nkqubo wendyikityha kunye nolindelo olwandisiweyo lokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kwezoqoqosho, imfuno ye-terminal yasekhaya iyonke kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka inokuphuculwa xa ithelekiswa nesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, kunye nenkxaso yexabiso icala lemfuno nalo liphuculwe xa lithelekiswa nesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka.Ugxininiso lwexabiso elipheleleyo le-butadiene njengento ekrwada iphezulu kunesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka.
Iindleko zezinto eziluhlaza kunzima ukuwa
Njengemathiriyeli yempompo, njengento eluhlaza ye-butadiene, yaxhaswa ngokukhula kweemfuno kwi-2022, kwaye ukuveliswa kweoli yengqondo yamatye kwaqhubeka ukukhula unyaka wonke.Ngokutsho kwedatha evela kwi-National Bureau of Statistics, imveliso ye-oyile yengqondo yamatye kwilizwe lam ngo-2022 yayiziitoni ezizigidi ezingama-54.78, ukwanda kwe-10.51% kunonyaka odlulileyo;umthamo wokungenisa ioli yengqondo yamatye yayiyi-9.26 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye ukusetyenziswa kwe-oyile yengqondo yamatye yayiyi-63.99 yezigidi zeetoni zokusetyenziswa kweetoni ze-63.99 yezigidi., Inyuke nge-13.21% kunonyaka ophelileyo.
Ngo-2023, ngokuncipha ngokuthe ngcembe kobhubhane, umgaqo-nkqubo ulungile, uqoqosho luye lwabuyela ngokuthe ngcembe, izinga lokusebenza ezantsi kweshishini lepetrochemical liya kunyuka, kwaye imfuno ye-oyile yepetroleum enyukayo iya kwanda.Kulindeleke ukuba le meko iqhubeke kude kube yikota yesithathu.Kwikota yesine, i-terminal yepetrochemical yangena kusetyenziso lwesiqhelo ngaphandle kwexesha lonyaka, kwaye ulwakhiwo olusezantsi lwehla.Imfuno yepetroleum ne-oyile ibe nomngcipheko wokwehla.
Lilonke, xa indawo yokucokisa ingena kwisithuba sogcino olukwindawo esembindini kwikota yesibini, unikezelo lweoyile yepetroleum yehla kwaye yaxhasa ukuphindeka kwakhona kwemarike.Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokunciphisa ukukhula koqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nemfuno enganeleyo, i-rebound iyancipha, kwaye ixabiso lingaqhubeka lihlengahlengiswa emva kokuba ixabiso liphezulu.Ikota yesithathu yayiyincopho yohambo lwemveli.Kweli nqanaba, amaxabiso eoli ekrwada ngokuthe ngcembe abuyela kuluhlu olufanelekileyo.Inzuzo yesixhobo sokuqhekeka iphuculwe, umsebenzi wentengiso unyukile, kwaye ixabiso lezinto eziluhlaza laligudileyo ukuya ezantsi.Kwikota yesine, imarike yepetrochemical iya kungena kusetyenziso lwendabuko ngaphandle-ixesha, imfuno inqabile, kwaye ixabiso le-oyile yengqondo yelitye liya kuwa kwakhona.
Ukusuka kwimbono yoshishino lokucoca, ulwakhiwo olukhawulezileyo lweProjekthi yokucoca iYulong Island kucwangciswe ukuba ifakwe kwimveliso ekupheleni kuka-2023. Inqanaba lesibini le-Hainan Petrochemical Hainan Refining and Chemical, iZhenhai Refinery Phase I kunye neCNOOC Petrochemical Plan zaye. igxininiswe kwi-2023 ukuya kwi-2024. Ukukhula kwemithombo yeoli yokukhanya kweekhemikhali ngokuqinisekileyo kunenzuzo kwimarike yeoli, ngoko isekela ezantsi kwe-downstream kuquka ibutadiene ngokweendleko.
Ukunyuka kwemfuno esezantsi
Ukungena kwi-2023, impembelelo yemigaqo-nkqubo efanelekileyo efana nerhafu yokuthengwa kwee-terminals ze-butadiene yaphuculwa kancinci, kwaye imboni ye-rubber ephezulu yalungiswa ngokusebenzayo.Kwangaxeshanye, ukuphuculwa okuqhubekayo kwamanyathelo othintelo lwesifo sobhubhane kuzise izibonelelo ezithile kwimarike yerabha.Ukwandisa imfuno ephantsi komlambo ngexesha leholide yoMnyhadala we-Spring, kunye nokuphuma kwezantsi kwe-butadiene, kulindeleke ukuba kugeleze kwimarike ekuqaleni kwe-2023, kwaye imfuno yendawo ye-butadiene iya kwanda kakhulu.
Ukususela kumbono wokukhutshwa kwamandla kwi-2023, umthamo we-rubber butadiebenbenbenbenbenbenbal unomthamo ophantsi, ongama-40,000 kuphela iitoni / ngonyaka;i-capsule entsha ye-capsule ineetoni ezingama-273,000;i-polypropylene kunye ne-chunyrene -butadiene -lyzyrene convergence market Umthamo wemveliso yi-150,000 yeetoni / ngonyaka;I-ABS yongeze iitoni ezingama-444,900/ngonyaka, kwaye amandla emveliso esanda kunyuka yeTinto glue ziitoni ezingama-50,000 ngonyaka;Akunzima ukubona ukuba isixhobo esitsha sihlala sifakwa kwimveliso, kwaye imfuno esezantsi kulindeleke ukuba inyuke kakhulu.Ukuba amandla okuvelisa angentla akhutshwe ngexesha, ngokungathandabuzekiyo inzuzo enkulu kwimarike ye-butadiene.
Ukongeza, njengoko imigaqo-nkqubo ekhoyo yothintelo lobhubhane iqhubeleka nokuphuculwa, ifuthe lemiba yobhubhane ekuthengisweni kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kunye nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe liya kuba buthathaka kancinci kwixesha elizayo.Ukukhangela phambili kwi-2023, izinga lokuzixhasa nge-butadiene liya kwanda, umthamo wokungenisa elizweni uya kuqhubeka nokuncipha, kodwa ukubuyiswa kweemfuno zangaphandle kuya kunceda i-butadiene i-export volume inyuke ngakumbi.Ukuze kulinganiswe ngcono unikezelo lwemarike yasekhaya kunye nepateni yemfuno, ukwanda kokuthumela ngaphandle kunokuba yinjongo yamashishini emveliso yebutadiene yasekhaya.
Ixesha lokuposa: Feb-23-2023